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Leo Carlsson

#91 · Centre · Anaheim Ducks

Born Dec 26, 2004 in Karlstad, SWE (age 21) · 6'3", 215 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 2nd overall in 2023 by ANA (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2023-24. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Egor Chinakhov CBJ · 29 P in 53 GP Pius Suter VAN · 29 P in 67 GP Michael Carcone ARI · 29 P in 74 GP Aliaksei Protas WSH · 29 P in 78 GP Kevin Hayes STL · 29 P in 79 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02040602023-24: 29 points2923-242024-25: 45 points4524-252025-26: 67 points6725-262026-27: 8 points826-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2023-24 ANA 55 12 17 29 -11 16 109 28 0.53 $950K
2024-25 ANA 76 20 25 45 6 14 114 24 0.59 $950K
2025-26 ANA 70 29 38 67 4 33 193 14 0.96 $950K
2026-27 ANA 5 1 7 8 -2 2 5 1 1.60 $18M
4 seasons Career 206 62 87 149 -3 65 421 67 0.72

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2025-26 ANA 12 4 7 11 1 0 41 9 0.92
1 season Playoffs 12 4 7 11 1 0 41 9 0.92

2023-24 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
55 12 17 29 -11 16 109 28 0.53 11.0 18:07

Contract

$950KCap hitends in 2026, then RFA
$33KCap dollars per point29 points in 55 games
$182KCap dollars per goal above replacement5.2 goals above replacement
$4.7MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$3.7MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 718 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Anaheim Ducks on Jul 12, 2023, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $12.6M, beginning in 2023-24. It runs through 2025-26, with 2 seasons left after this one, and he is then a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2023-24 $950K $855K $95K $3.25M $950K
2024-25 $950K $855K $95K $3.25M $950K
2025-26 $950K $855K $95K $3.25M $950K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 3, 2026 Philadelphia Flyers New contract 2026-27 to 2030-31 5 $90M $18M
Jul 12, 2023 Anaheim Ducks Entry-level 2023-24 to 2025-26 3 $12.6M $950K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2023-24 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2023-24 analytics

Rating

+5.2Goals above replacement206th of 721 skaters, 154th of 469 forwards
+0.9Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+2.5Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 469 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-0.1 53rd percentileEven-strength defence+0.8 57th percentilePower play+0.2 73rd percentilePenalty kill+0.2 78th percentilePenalties+1.4 82nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

0510152023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

50.9Corsi for %764 attempts for, 737 against
+5.2CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.7Expected goals for %32.8 expected for, 33.1 against
+6.5xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
51.1Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
44.3Goals for %27 for, 34 against
97.6PDO6.9% shooting + 90.7% saves
136Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 616 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Alex Killorn · Troy Terry · Leo Carlsson33347:4055.250.211-13
Troy Terry · Trevor Zegras · Leo Carlsson983:3346.351.52-4
Adam Henrique · Ryan Strome · Leo Carlsson655:4747.942.12-5
Adam Henrique · Troy Terry · Leo Carlsson853:5252.668.05-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

12Goalsnot counting empty-netters
12.0Expected goalsfrom 144 unblocked attempts
0.0Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.73 expected goals per 60 minutes43rd
Shot quality 8.4% chance per attempt70th
Finishing 0.0 goals above expected51stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 438 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0510Game 20Game 40Expected 12.0Goals 12

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 18, 2024 @ VGK W 4-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 17:00
Apr 13, 2024 @ LAK L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 21:54
Apr 12, 2024 vs CGY L 3-6 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 17:10
Apr 9, 2024 vs LAK W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 16:04
Apr 7, 2024 vs STL L 5-6 (SO) 2 0 2 -1 0 5 0 18:55
Apr 5, 2024 vs SEA L 1-3 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 18:21
Apr 2, 2024 @ CGY W 5-3 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 19:41
Mar 31, 2024 @ VAN L 2-3 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 20:29
Mar 30, 2024 @ EDM L 1-6 0 0 0 -2 0 3 1 17:39
Mar 28, 2024 @ SEA L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 18:14
Mar 26, 2024 @ SEA L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 15:05
Mar 24, 2024 vs TBL L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 20:01
Mar 21, 2024 vs CHI W 4-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 11:38
Mar 19, 2024 vs MIN L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 17:59
Mar 17, 2024 @ STL L 2-4 0 1 1 1 2 3 0 19:05
Feb 29, 2024 @ SJS W 6-4 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 14:13
Feb 25, 2024 vs NSH L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 5 0 19:25
Feb 24, 2024 @ LAK L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 18:48
Feb 21, 2024 vs CBJ L 4-7 0 1 1 -1 0 0 0 18:01
Feb 19, 2024 @ BUF W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:52
Feb 17, 2024 @ TOR L 2-9 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 20:08
Feb 15, 2024 @ OTT W 5-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 15:36
Feb 13, 2024 @ MTL L 0-5 0 0 0 -2 2 3 1 18:05
Feb 9, 2024 vs EDM L 3-5 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 16:53
Jan 31, 2024 vs SJS W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 19:08
Jan 27, 2024 @ MIN W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 18:23
Jan 25, 2024 @ DAL L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 19:14
Jan 23, 2024 vs BUF W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 19:12
Jan 21, 2024 vs NYR L 2-5 0 2 2 1 0 3 0 20:59
Jan 20, 2024 @ SJS L 3-5 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 19:06
Jan 16, 2024 @ WSH L 0-2 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 20:31
Jan 15, 2024 @ FLA W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 20:05
Dec 21, 2023 vs CGY L 0-3 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 14:04
Dec 18, 2023 @ DET W 4-3 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 17:42
Dec 15, 2023 @ NYR L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 18:32
Dec 13, 2023 @ NYI L 3-4 0 1 1 -1 2 2 1 17:50
Dec 10, 2023 vs WPG L 2-4 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 17:02
Dec 7, 2023 @ CHI L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 19:39
Dec 5, 2023 @ COL L 2-3 1 0 1 -2 0 5 1 18:46
Dec 2, 2023 vs COL W 4-3 (SO) 1 1 2 1 0 4 2 19:28
Nov 30, 2023 vs WSH L 4-5 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 21:26
Nov 24, 2023 vs LAK L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 16:05
Nov 22, 2023 vs MTL L 3-4 0 1 1 0 0 3 2 16:02
Nov 19, 2023 vs STL L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 17:12
Nov 15, 2023 @ COL L 2-8 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 17:44
Nov 12, 2023 vs SJS W 4-1 0 1 1 -1 0 3 0 18:04
Nov 10, 2023 vs PHI L 3-6 3 0 3 0 0 5 1 20:44
Nov 7, 2023 vs PIT L 0-2 0 0 0 -2 0 1 1 18:40
Nov 5, 2023 vs VGK W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13:36
Nov 1, 2023 vs ARI W 4-3 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 16:17
Oct 30, 2023 @ PIT W 4-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 15:54
Oct 28, 2023 @ PHI W 7-4 0 0 0 -1 2 2 0 17:09
Oct 26, 2023 @ BOS W 4-3 (OT) 1 1 2 2 0 3 1 22:37
Oct 21, 2023 @ ARI L 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 21:33
Oct 19, 2023 vs DAL L 2-3 1 0 1 2 0 2 1 19:00