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Nate Danielson

#29 · Centre · Detroit Red Wings

Born Sep 27, 2004 in Red Deer, Alberta, CAN (age 22) · 6'2", 196 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 9th overall in 2023 by DET (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2025-26. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Jani Nyman SEA · 7 P in 28 GP Cole Schwindt FLA · 7 P in 29 GP Daniil But UTA · 7 P in 29 GP John Beecher CGY · 7 P in 35 GP Nathan Bastian DAL · 7 P in 36 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02462025-26: 7 points725-262026-27: 1 points126-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2025-26 DET 28 2 5 7 -7 4 31 8 0.25 $918K
2026-27 DET 5 0 1 1 -1 2 3 3 0.20 $909K
2 seasons Career 33 2 6 8 -8 6 34 11 0.24

2025-26 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
28 2 5 7 -7 4 31 8 0.25 6.5 11:03

Contract

$918KCap hitends in 2028, then RFA
$131KCap dollars per point7 points in 28 games
$329KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$589KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 715 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Detroit Red Wings on Jul 12, 2023, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $5.85M, beginning in 2025-26. It runs through 2027-28, with 2 seasons left after this one, and he is then a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2025-26 $918K
2026-27 $909K
2027-28 $909K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 12, 2023 Detroit Red Wings Entry-level 2025-26 to 2027-28 signed for 2023-24, slid 3 $5.85M $918K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2025-26 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2025-26 analytics

Rating

-0.5Goals above replacement563rd of 715 skaters, 393rd of 476 forwards
-0.1Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.4Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 476 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.2 35th percentileEven-strength defence-0.2 42nd percentilePower play+0.0 69th percentilePenalty kill+0.0 44th percentilePenalties-0.1 32nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player.

-1-0.500.512025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

47.6Corsi for %242 attempts for, 266 against
-0.6CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
45.7Expected goals for %10.3 expected for, 12.3 against
-3.8xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
48.9Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
33.3Goals for %6 for, 12 against
95.7PDO5.2% shooting + 90.5% saves
45Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Elmer Soderblom · Marco Kasper · Nate Danielson1292:0948.158.63-2
Mason Appleton · Marco Kasper · Nate Danielson853:3852.744.30-0
James van Riemsdyk · Marco Kasper · Nate Danielson717:1442.934.00-2
Mason Appleton · Nate Danielson · Emmitt Finnie510:1930.035.01-1

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

2Goalsnot counting empty-netters
3.8Expected goalsfrom 49 unblocked attempts
-1.8Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.74 expected goals per 60 minutes40th
Shot quality 7.8% chance per attempt33rd
Finishing -1.8 goals above expected39thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 444 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0123Game 20Expected 3.8Goals 2

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Jan 3, 2026 vs PIT L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 11:52
Jan 1, 2026 @ PIT L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 11:44
Dec 31, 2025 vs WPG W 2-1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 09:28
Dec 28, 2025 vs TOR W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 08:42
Dec 27, 2025 @ CAR L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:06
Dec 23, 2025 vs DAL W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 10:50
Dec 21, 2025 vs WSH W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 13:07
Dec 20, 2025 @ WSH W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 12:28
Dec 17, 2025 vs UTA L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 11:38
Dec 16, 2025 vs NYI W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10:06
Dec 13, 2025 @ CHI W 4-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 09:31
Dec 11, 2025 @ EDM L 1-4 0 1 1 -1 0 0 0 10:41
Dec 10, 2025 @ CGY W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 11:48
Dec 8, 2025 @ VAN W 4-0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 10:11
Dec 6, 2025 @ SEA W 4-3 0 1 1 -1 0 2 0 09:00
Dec 4, 2025 @ CBJ L 5-6 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 10:36
Dec 2, 2025 vs BOS W 5-4 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 11:37
Nov 29, 2025 @ BOS L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:35
Nov 28, 2025 vs TBL L 3-6 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 10:40
Nov 26, 2025 vs NSH L 3-6 0 1 1 -2 2 0 0 09:09
Nov 24, 2025 @ NJD L 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10:44
Nov 22, 2025 vs CBJ W 4-3 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 08:43
Nov 20, 2025 vs NYI L 0-5 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 10:20
Nov 18, 2025 vs SEA W 4-2 1 1 2 1 0 2 2 11:27
Nov 16, 2025 @ NYR W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11:45
Nov 15, 2025 vs BUF L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 12:12
Nov 13, 2025 vs ANA W 6-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11:13
Nov 9, 2025 vs CHI L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 15:16