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Photo of Nikolas Matinpalo

Nikolas Matinpalo

#33 · Defence · Ottawa Senators

Born Oct 5, 1998 in Espoo, FIN (age 28) · 6'3", 213 lb · Shoots right

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2025-26. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Jacob Bernard-Docker DET · 5 P in 63 GP Kyle Capobianco DAL · 5 P in 33 GP Elias Salomonsson WPG · 5 P in 32 GP Connor Clifton PIT · 6 P in 50 GP Zach Metsa BUF · 6 P in 43 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0123452023-24: 0 points023-242024-25: 4 points424-252025-26: 5 points525-262026-27: 0 points026-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2023-24 OTT 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 0.00 $885K
2024-25 OTT 41 1 3 4 -2 20 43 25 0.10 $775K
2025-26 OTT 50 0 5 5 -1 16 37 49 0.10 $875K
2026-27 OTT 5 0 0 0 2 4 4 4 0.00 $875K
4 seasons Career 100 1 8 9 0 40 86 82 0.09

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2024-25 OTT 6 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 0.00
2025-26 OTT 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 3 0.00
2 seasons Playoffs 10 0 0 0 2 4 4 6 0.00

2025-26 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
50 0 5 5 -1 16 37 49 0.10 0.0 15:38

Contract

$875KCap hitends in 2027
$175KCap dollars per point5 points in 50 games
$679KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$196KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 715 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Ottawa Senators on May 5, 2025, as an extension of the contract he was on: 2 years and $1.75M, beginning in 2025-26. It runs through 2026-27, with 1 season left after this one.

Season Cap hit
2025-26 $875K
2026-27 $875K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
May 5, 2025 Ottawa Senators Extension 2025-26 to 2026-27 2 $1.75M $875K
Jun 20, 2024 Ottawa Senators Extension 2024-25 to 2024-25 1 $775K $775K
May 25, 2023 Ottawa Senators Entry-level 2023-24 to 2023-24 1 $885K $885K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2025-26 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2025-26 analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

-0.1Goals above replacement544th of 715 skaters, 166th of 239 defencemen
0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-2.7Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 239 ranked defencemen: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-3.6 12th percentileEven-strength defence+1.2 73rd percentilePower play0.0 77th percentilePenalty kill-0.1 34th percentilePenalties-0.1 76th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among defencemen. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-2-1012023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

45.6Corsi for %572 attempts for, 682 against
-8.8CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
52.0Expected goals for %27.2 expected for, 25.2 against
-3.5xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
45.5Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
44.0Goals for %22 for, 28 against
98.7PDO8.0% shooting + 90.7% saves
96Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 615 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Nick Jensen · Nikolas Matinpalo19216:0047.855.57-8
Tyler Kleven · Nikolas Matinpalo29158:3342.643.93-5
Jordan Spence · Nikolas Matinpalo1673:1645.355.41-7
Dennis Gilbert · Nikolas Matinpalo760:2446.358.13-2

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
1.7Expected goalsfrom 60 unblocked attempts
-1.7Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.13 expected goals per 60 minutes23rd
Shot quality 2.8% chance per attempt30th
Finishing -1.7 goals above expected17thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 240 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.511.5Game 20Game 40Expected 1.7Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 15, 2026 vs TOR W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 18:39
Apr 12, 2026 @ NJD L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 20:35
Apr 11, 2026 @ NYI W 3-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10:42
Apr 9, 2026 vs FLA W 5-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 17:09
Apr 7, 2026 vs TBL W 6-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 18:55
Apr 5, 2026 vs CAR W 6-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15:59
Apr 4, 2026 vs MIN L 1-4 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 17:39
Apr 2, 2026 vs BUF W 4-1 0 0 0 -1 0 2 2 24:29
Mar 31, 2026 @ FLA L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 16:36
Mar 28, 2026 @ TBL L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 16:41
Mar 26, 2026 vs PIT L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 18:00
Mar 24, 2026 @ DET W 3-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 19:57
Mar 23, 2026 @ NYR W 2-1 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 18:19
Mar 21, 2026 vs TOR W 5-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 14:20
Mar 19, 2026 vs NYI W 3-2 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 12:44
Mar 18, 2026 @ WSH L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10:08
Mar 15, 2026 vs SJS W 7-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 15:47
Mar 14, 2026 vs ANA W 2-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 12:20
Mar 11, 2026 vs MTL L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11:51
Mar 9, 2026 @ VAN W 2-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:52
Jan 24, 2026 vs CAR L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15:26
Jan 8, 2026 @ COL L 2-8 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 19:40
Dec 29, 2025 vs CBJ L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13:51
Dec 27, 2025 @ TOR L 5-7 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 14:31
Dec 23, 2025 vs BUF L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 15:17
Dec 21, 2025 @ BOS W 6-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17:19
Dec 18, 2025 vs PIT W 4-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 18:34
Dec 15, 2025 @ WPG W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 13:30
Dec 13, 2025 @ MIN L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13:48
Dec 11, 2025 @ CBJ W 6-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15:40
Dec 9, 2025 vs NJD L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 2 0 0 13:32
Dec 6, 2025 vs STL L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 11:03
Dec 4, 2025 vs NYR L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 2 2 18:58
Dec 2, 2025 @ MTL W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12:04
Nov 30, 2025 @ DAL L 1-6 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 18:29
Nov 28, 2025 @ STL L 3-4 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 17:28
Nov 26, 2025 @ VGK W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15:11
Nov 24, 2025 @ LAK L 1-2 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 15:02
Nov 20, 2025 @ ANA W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:57
Nov 15, 2025 vs LAK L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15:34
Nov 13, 2025 vs BOS W 5-3 0 1 1 2 0 0 2 20:16
Nov 6, 2025 @ BOS L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 13:18
Nov 1, 2025 @ MTL L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 11:29
Oct 28, 2025 @ CHI L 3-7 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 15:19
Oct 27, 2025 vs BOS W 7-2 0 0 0 -2 0 0 3 17:31
Oct 25, 2025 @ WSH W 7-1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 16:01
Oct 23, 2025 vs PHI W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 10:55
Oct 21, 2025 vs EDM L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12:37
Oct 11, 2025 @ FLA L 2-6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 16:45
Oct 9, 2025 @ TBL W 5-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 13:35