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Carter Yakemchuk

#26 · Defence · Ottawa Senators

Born Sep 29, 2005 in Fort McMurray, Alberta, CAN (age 21) · 6'3", 219 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 7th overall in 2024 by OTT (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Adam Pelech NYI · 2 P in 4 GP Adam Wilsby NSH · 2 P in 4 GP Alexandre Carrier MTL · 2 P in 4 GP Brady Skjei NSH · 2 P in 4 GP Brandon Montour SEA · 2 P in 4 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

00.511.522025-26: 2 points225-262026-27: 2 points226-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2025-26 OTT 4 1 1 2 -1 2 5 0 0.50 $975K
2026-27 OTT 4 1 1 2 1 0 6 1 0.50 $975K
2 seasons Career 8 2 2 4 0 2 11 1 0.50

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2025-26 OTT 1 0 2 2 -1 0 3 0 2.00
1 season Playoffs 1 0 2 2 -1 0 3 0 2.00

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
4 1 1 2 1 0 6 1 0.50 16.7 16:10

Contract

$975KCap hitends in 2029, then RFA
$488KCap dollars per point2 points in 4 games

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show.

The contract

Signed by the Ottawa Senators on Aug 6, 2024, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $2.925M, beginning in 2026-27. It runs through 2028-29, with 2 seasons left after this one, and he is then a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2026-27 $975K
2027-28 $975K
2028-29 $975K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Aug 6, 2024 Ottawa Senators Entry-level 2026-27 to 2028-29 signed for 2024-25, slid 3 $2.925M $975K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 4 games (-0.1 goals above replacement), plus the 11 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

-0.1Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.4Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence-0.4Even-strength defence-0.3Power play+0.1Penalty kill+0.0Penalties+0.2

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. His projection rests on fewer than 20 games, counting the last three seasons, too few to be ranked.

-0.500.512025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

44.7Corsi for %38 attempts for, 47 against
0.0CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
39.3Expected goals for %1.6 expected for, 2.4 against
-11.8xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
42.2Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
66.7Goals for %2 for, 1 against
106.8PDO10.5% shooting + 96.3% saves
5Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Tyler Kleven · Carter Yakemchuk428:1642.921.61-1
Thomas Chabot · Carter Yakemchuk413:0155.269.11-0
Jordan Spence · Carter Yakemchuk12:2540.035.10-0
Jake Sanderson · Carter Yakemchuk12:120.00.00-0

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.3Expected goalsfrom 9 unblocked attempts
+0.7Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.30 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 3.6% chance per attempt1st
Finishing +0.7 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Goals 1Expected 0.3

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 8, 2026 vs PHI W 2-1 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 14:45
Oct 6, 2026 @ DET L 3-5 0 1 1 -1 0 2 0 17:07
Oct 5, 2026 @ BOS W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:58
Oct 3, 2026 @ TOR W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 17:50