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Photo of Ivar Stenberg

Ivar Stenberg

#41 · Left wing · San Jose Sharks

Born Sep 30, 2007 in Gothenburg, SWE (age 19) · 5'11", 185 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 2nd overall in 2026 by SJS (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Adam Edstrom NSH · 2 P in 4 GP Alex Formenton EDM · 2 P in 4 GP Alex Iafallo WPG · 2 P in 4 GP Alex Newhook MTL · 2 P in 4 GP Alexandre Texier MTL · 2 P in 4 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2026-27 SJS 4 0 2 2 0 2 3 0 0.50 $1.075M
1 season Career 4 0 2 2 0 2 3 0 0.50

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
4 0 2 2 0 2 3 0 0.50 0.0 15:05

Contract

$1.075MCap hitends in 2029
$538KCap dollars per point2 points in 4 games
$15.045MCap dollars per goal above replacement0.1 goals above replacement, projected

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one.

The contract

Signed by the San Jose Sharks on Jul 2, 2026, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $3.225M, beginning in 2026-27. It runs through 2028-29, with 2 seasons left after this one.

Season Cap hit
2026-27 $1.075M
2027-28 $1.075M
2028-29 $1.075M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 2, 2026 San Jose Sharks Entry-level 2026-27 to 2028-29 3 $3.225M $1.075M

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 4 games (+0.0 goals above replacement), plus the 44 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+0.1Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.3Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence-0.9Even-strength defence+0.4Power play+0.3Penalty kill0.0Penalties+0.0

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. His projection rests on fewer than 20 games, counting the last three seasons, too few to be ranked.

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

43.8Corsi for %35 attempts for, 45 against
+2.8CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
34.1Expected goals for %1.2 expected for, 2.2 against
-0.3xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
40.4Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
0.0Goals for %0 for, 2 against
90.9PDO0.0% shooting + 90.9% saves
4Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Alexander Wennberg · Collin Graf · Ivar Stenberg220:5938.931.90-1
Alexander Wennberg · Kiefer Sherwood · Ivar Stenberg110:1668.838.90-0
Igor Chernyshov · Michael Misa · Ivar Stenberg16:0340.05.00-1
Ty Dellandrea · Collin Graf · Ivar Stenberg14:0233.391.70-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.5Expected goalsfrom 5 unblocked attempts
-0.5Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.48 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 9.6% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.5 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.5Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 8, 2026 @ STL W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 1 2 2 0 17:21
Oct 5, 2026 @ DAL L 0-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:45
Oct 3, 2026 vs LAK W 5-4 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 0 0 0 15:37
Oct 1, 2026 vs FLA W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13:35