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Nashville Predators at Buffalo Sabres

Mar 20, 2011 · HSBC Arena

Team Goals Shots
Nashville Predators 4 26
Buffalo Sabres 3 38

Decided in overtime.

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
06:44 NSH Blake Geoffrion (1) Colin Wilson (1), J-P Dumont (1) 1 - 0
2nd Period
07:04 BUF Nathan Gerbe (1) Paul Gaustad (1), Mark Mancari (1) 1 - 1
07:46 BUF Tim Connolly (1) Thomas Vanek (1), Tyler Myers (1) 1 - 2
19:00 BUF Tyler Ennis (1) PP Drew Stafford (1), Ryan Miller (1) 1 - 3
3rd Period
17:33 NSH Blake Geoffrion (2) Unassisted 2 - 3
18:37 NSH Blake Geoffrion (3) Cody Franson (1), Sergei Kostitsyn (1) 3 - 3
Overtime
00:27 NSH Martin Erat (1) Ryan Suter (1), David Legwand (1) 4 - 3

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
2nd Period
10:50 NSH Team Too many men on the ice 2
17:22 NSH Cody Franson Slashing 2
3rd Period
04:54 NSH Ryan Suter Cross checking 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Nashville Predators 58 41 26 4 3.1 49.5
Buffalo Sabres 64 53 38 3 2.9 50.5

How the game went

0510Start2nd3rdOTBuffalo Sabres aheadNashville Predators ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Buffalo Sabres had taken more, and below it and blue while Nashville Predators had.

Expected goals

Nashville Predators: 3.1 expected, 4 scored · Buffalo Sabres: 2.9 expected, 3 scored

0123Start2nd3rdOTNSH goal, 6:44 of 1st, a 9% chanceNSH goal, 17:33 of 3rd, a 7% chanceNSH goal, 18:37 of 3rd, a 2% chanceNSH goal, 0:27 of overtime, a 12% chanceBUF goal, 7:04 of 2nd, a 14% chanceBUF goal, 7:46 of 2nd, a 5% chanceBUF goal, 19:00 of 2nd, a 11% chanceNSH 3.1BUF 2.9

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Nashville Predators
Buffalo Sabres

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Nashville Predators

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
David Legwand · Martin Erat · Joel Ward10:4161.967.20-0
Jerred Smithson · Jordin Tootoo · Nick Spaling9:3143.853.70-0
Mike Fisher · Sergei Kostitsyn · Patric Hornqvist8:2152.952.00-0
J-P Dumont · Blake Geoffrion · Colin Wilson5:5130.068.41-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Ryan Suter · Shea Weber20:1655.162.20-1
Kevin Klein · Jonathon Blum14:0345.855.31-1
Shane O'Brien · Cody Franson13:0035.045.90-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
57 Blake Geoffrion C 3 0 3 3 0 3 2 10:45 0.24 13-10 0.67-0.17
10 Martin Erat R 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 19:30 0.27 17-18 0.75-0.95
11 Cody Franson D 0 1 1 1 2 0 2 14:30 8-14 0.43-0.53
17 David Legwand C 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 18:57 0.17 16-16 0.83-0.68
22 Ryan Suter D 0 1 1 0 2 3 0 24:27 0.45 29-24 1.79-1.09
22 Colin Wilson C 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 08:39 0.09 6-8 0.54-0.21
71 J-P Dumont R 0 1 1 2 0 0 2 10:46 0.02 10-13 0.44-0.30
74 Sergei Kostitsyn L 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 16:20 0.45 21-18 1.10-0.74
6 Shea Weber D 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 25:18 0.11 29-26 1.72-1.42
7 Jonathon Blum D 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 20:00 0.03 16-20 0.62-0.88
8 Kevin Klein D 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 19:15 0.03 14-14 0.60-0.42
12 Mike Fisher C 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 17:24 0.02 15-21 0.41-1.16
16 Nick Spaling C 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15:30 0.01 9-14 0.49-0.68
22 Jerred Smithson C 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 14:51 0.37 14-13 1.15-0.78
22 Jordin Tootoo R 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 12:22 0.09 9-13 0.52-0.62
42 Joel Ward R 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 16:55 0.27 19-11 0.74-0.48
70 Patric Hornqvist R 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 12:55 0.41 16-13 1.10-0.50
74 Shane O'Brien D 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 17:46 0.04 14-14 0.66-0.50
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
39 Anders Lindback W 38 35 3 60:27 2.86 -0.14

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Tim Connolly · Jason Pominville · Thomas Vanek14:3659.570.01-0
Brad Boyes · Drew Stafford · Tyler Ennis12:3014.33.00-0
Paul Gaustad · Mark Mancari · Nathan Gerbe11:5763.268.51-1
Rob Niedermayer · Mike Grier · Cody McCormick9:0553.365.90-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Andrej Sekera · Tyler Myers18:5455.054.11-3
Jordan Leopold · Chris Butler15:2942.956.70-0
Shaone Morrisonn · Mike Weber11:3235.013.90-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
12 Tim Connolly C 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 18:09 0.40 23-15 1.46-0.62
24 Nathan Gerbe C 1 0 1 0 0 6 0 13:18 0.39 14-9 0.50-0.24
63 Tyler Ennis R 1 0 1 -1 0 2 0 16:41 0.15 6-22 0.11-1.71
18 Drew Stafford R 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 16:06 4-20 0.05-1.64
24 Mark Mancari R 0 1 1 -1 0 3 0 14:36 0.09 17-11 0.59-0.31
26 Thomas Vanek L 0 1 1 0 0 5 0 20:37 0.58 25-17 1.49-0.84
28 Paul Gaustad C 0 1 1 -1 0 0 0 14:26 0.02 16-11 0.58-0.67
57 Tyler Myers D 0 1 1 -3 0 0 2 24:13 29-19 0.98-0.71
5 Andrej Sekera D 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 25:07 0.06 28-22 1.12-0.76
6 Mike Weber D 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14:42 10-15 0.36-1.45
8 Cody McCormick C 0 0 0 -1 0 5 2 10:54 0.26 12-10 0.31-0.25
20 Rob Niedermayer C 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 10:41 0.03 11-7 0.32-0.13
25 Mike Grier R 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 10:48 0.03 11-8 0.30-0.24
25 Chris Butler D 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 19:29 0.14 19-17 0.97-0.69
27 Shaone Morrisonn D 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13:20 0.03 8-14 0.26-1.44
28 Brad Boyes R 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15:45 5-19 0.07-1.37
29 Jason Pominville R 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 18:53 0.63 24-16 1.48-0.73
33 Jordan Leopold D 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 24:03 0.08 18-23 1.15-0.76
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
30 Ryan Miller OTL 26 22 4 60:27 3.08 -0.92