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Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres

Jan 7, 2023 · KeyBank Center

Team Goals Shots
Minnesota Wild 5 44
Buffalo Sabres 6 37

Decided in overtime.

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
13:00 BUF Victor Olofsson (14) Casey Mittelstadt (14), Rasmus Dahlin (30) 0 - 1
2nd Period
02:52 MIN Brandon Duhaime (4) Ryan Hartman (7), Mathew Dumba (7) 1 - 1
06:46 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (23) PP Calen Addison (17), Sam Steel (11) 2 - 1
10:30 BUF Tage Thompson (31) PP Rasmus Dahlin (31), Dylan Cozens (24) 2 - 2
12:02 BUF Rasmus Dahlin (11) Casey Mittelstadt (15), Tyson Jost (8) 2 - 3
13:55 BUF Dylan Cozens (13) PP Alex Tuch (25) 2 - 4
18:45 MIN Ryan Hartman (5) Frederick Gaudreau (9) 3 - 4
3rd Period
00:26 MIN Marcus Foligno (4) Joel Eriksson Ek (17), Jordan Greenway (4) 4 - 4
07:48 MIN Joel Eriksson Ek (14) PP Calen Addison (18), Marc-Andre Fleury (1) 5 - 4
17:36 BUF Rasmus Dahlin (12) Casey Mittelstadt (16), Owen Power (14) 5 - 5
Overtime
04:41 BUF Victor Olofsson (15) Peyton Krebs (6), Rasmus Dahlin (32) 5 - 6

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
17:19 MIN Kirill Kaprizov Hooking 2
2nd Period
05:22 BUF Ilya Lyubushkin Interference 2
06:24 BUF Jack Quinn Delaying game puck over glass 2
10:24 MIN Connor Dewar Tripping 2
12:42 MIN Kirill Kaprizov Roughing 2
3rd Period
05:32 BUF Kale Clague Tripping 2
07:27 BUF Tyson Jost Hooking 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Minnesota Wild 57 53 44 5 3.9 42.9
Buffalo Sabres 64 48 37 6 3.1 57.1

How the game went

4202468Start2nd3rdOTBuffalo Sabres aheadMinnesota Wild ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Buffalo Sabres had taken more, and below it and blue while Minnesota Wild had.

Expected goals

Minnesota Wild: 3.9 expected, 5 scored · Buffalo Sabres: 3.1 expected, 6 scored

0123Start2nd3rdOTMIN goal, 2:52 of 2nd, a 18% chanceMIN goal, 6:46 of 2nd, a 10% chanceMIN goal, 18:45 of 2nd, a 22% chanceMIN goal, 0:26 of 3rd, a 15% chanceMIN goal, 7:48 of 3rd, a 11% chanceBUF goal, 13:00 of 1st, a 4% chanceBUF goal, 10:30 of 2nd, a 7% chanceBUF goal, 12:02 of 2nd, a 8% chanceBUF goal, 13:55 of 2nd, a 11% chanceBUF goal, 17:36 of 3rd, a 2% chanceBUF goal, 4:41 of overtime, a 10% chanceMIN 3.9BUF 3.1

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Minnesota Wild
Buffalo Sabres

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Minnesota Wild

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Kirill Kaprizov · Sam Steel · Matt Boldy12:3860.968.20-1
Ryan Hartman · Frederick Gaudreau · Brandon Duhaime10:3441.753.12-0
Marcus Foligno · Jordan Greenway · Joel Eriksson Ek9:4945.563.51-0
Ryan Reaves · Mason Shaw · Connor Dewar8:0333.320.10-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jonas Brodin · Mathew Dumba21:1752.948.92-0
Jon Merrill · Calen Addison10:4716.74.70-0
Jared Spurgeon · Jake Middleton10:2844.866.71-2

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C 1 1 2 1 0 4 0 20:10 0.25 11-12 0.49-0.28
38 Ryan Hartman R 1 1 2 1 0 4 2 16:05 0.36 11-19 0.81-0.92
33 Calen Addison D 0 2 2 -1 0 4 0 18:53 0.15 6-14 0.29-0.53
17 Marcus Foligno L 1 0 1 1 0 4 4 15:42 0.57 10-13 0.49-0.29
24 Brandon Duhaime L 1 0 1 2 0 3 5 12:21 0.31 10-14 0.81-0.71
97 Kirill Kaprizov L 1 0 1 -2 4 6 1 20:37 0.95 14-10 0.78-0.39
12 Jordan Greenway L 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 14:54 0.14 11-13 0.49-0.31
18 Sam Steel C 0 1 1 -1 0 1 1 21:54 0.21 14-10 0.78-0.40
24 Mathew Dumba D 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 25:43 0.02 20-19 0.95-0.91
89 Frederick Gaudreau C 0 1 1 2 0 3 0 16:06 0.20 10-18 0.81-0.90
4 Jon Merrill D 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 14:47 0.01 2-14 0.01-0.44
12 Matt Boldy L 0 0 0 -2 0 4 0 20:25 0.39 14-13 0.78-0.46
15 Mason Shaw C 0 0 0 -2 0 3 0 12:25 0.08 4-15 0.10-0.62
19 Connor Dewar C 0 0 0 -2 2 0 2 11:28 4-11 0.10-0.43
25 Jonas Brodin D 0 0 0 2 0 3 1 26:19 0.26 18-18 0.79-0.88
46 Jared Spurgeon D 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 17:23 0.02 13-18 0.93-0.54
55 Jake Middleton D 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 16:31 19-21 1.37-0.75
75 Ryan Reaves R 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 09:06 4-8 0.10-0.38
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
29 Marc-Andre Fleury OTL 37 31 6 64:36 3.10 -2.90

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jeff Skinner · Alex Tuch · Tage Thompson15:5050.038.70-1
Kyle Okposo · Zemgus Girgensons · Peyton Krebs12:4560.054.50-0
Victor Olofsson · Tyson Jost · Casey Mittelstadt8:3380.068.62-1
Dylan Cozens · Jack Quinn · JJ Peterka7:0242.938.70-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Mattias Samuelsson · Rasmus Dahlin14:2151.743.71-2
Kale Clague · Owen Power12:4555.642.70-0
Jacob Bryson · Ilya Lyubushkin6:1742.934.00-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 2 3 5 2 0 4 3 29:25 0.19 24-17 0.92-1.10
11 Casey Mittelstadt C 0 3 3 2 0 2 0 14:18 0.16 19-5 0.75-0.44
95 Victor Olofsson L 2 0 2 3 0 6 0 13:35 0.34 19-5 0.73-0.32
24 Dylan Cozens C 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 14:30 0.12 8-10 0.27-0.40
72 Tage Thompson C 1 0 1 -1 0 4 0 22:43 0.18 14-15 0.51-0.86
17 Tyson Jost C 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 12:05 0.05 17-4 0.70-0.32
19 Peyton Krebs C 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 17:13 0.17 13-10 0.54-0.59
25 Owen Power D 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 28:53 0.17 21-14 0.81-0.65
89 Alex Tuch R 0 1 1 -1 0 3 1 22:25 0.30 14-14 0.51-0.81
8 Kyle Okposo R 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 16:48 0.07 13-12 0.54-0.65
10 JJ Peterka R 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 09:00 0.08 7-8 0.25-0.38
22 Jack Quinn R 0 0 0 -1 2 0 0 08:52 0.08 6-8 0.24-0.38
23 Mattias Samuelsson D 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 23:51 0.10 20-18 0.87-1.15
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 14:32 0.29 12-11 0.51-0.49
38 Kale Clague D 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 17:28 0.10 15-9 0.49-0.50
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 09:54 0.07 9-9 0.27-0.52
53 Jeff Skinner L 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 20:53 0.64 14-15 0.51-0.86
78 Jacob Bryson D 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 12:25 0.00 15-11 0.70-0.44
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen W 44 39 5 64:41 3.88 -1.12