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Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 27, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena

Team Goals Shots
Buffalo Sabres 7 31
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 23

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
07:44 TOR Matthew Knies (13) John Tavares (26), Matias Maccelli (14) 0 - 1
09:29 BUF Rasmus Dahlin (9) Ryan McLeod (24), Mattias Samuelsson (21) 1 - 1
10:49 TOR Auston Matthews (26) Max Domi (19), Oliver Ekman-Larsson (24) 1 - 2
13:16 BUF Josh Doan (16) PP Rasmus Dahlin (30) 2 - 2
18:05 BUF Tage Thompson (28) Unassisted 3 - 2
2nd Period
11:17 TOR Bobby McMann (17) Auston Matthews (18), Max Domi (20) 3 - 3
18:17 BUF Rasmus Dahlin (10) Mattias Samuelsson (22), Peyton Krebs (16) 4 - 3
3rd Period
00:16 BUF Alex Tuch (19) Tage Thompson (27), Mattias Samuelsson (23) 5 - 3
11:33 BUF Jack Quinn (12) Rasmus Dahlin (31) 6 - 3
14:59 TOR Max Domi (8) Auston Matthews (19), Bobby McMann (12) 6 - 4
19:16 BUF Rasmus Dahlin (11) Unassisted 7 - 4

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
12:27 TOR Steven Lorentz Cross checking 2
3rd Period
06:53 TOR Brandon Carlo Tripping 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Buffalo Sabres 60 46 31 7 3.4 52.4
Toronto Maple Leafs 52 33 23 4 2.9 47.6

How the game went

151050Start2nd3rdToronto Maple Leafs aheadBuffalo Sabres ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Toronto Maple Leafs had taken more, and below it and blue while Buffalo Sabres had.

Expected goals

Buffalo Sabres: 3.4 expected, 7 scored · Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.9 expected, 4 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndBUF goal, 9:29 of 1st, a 7% chanceBUF goal, 13:16 of 1st, a 8% chanceBUF goal, 18:05 of 1st, a 2% chanceBUF goal, 18:17 of 2nd, a 6% chanceBUF goal, 0:16 of 3rd, a 6% chanceBUF goal, 11:33 of 3rd, a 9% chanceBUF goal, 19:16 of 3rd, a 41% chanceTOR goal, 7:44 of 1st, a 21% chanceTOR goal, 10:49 of 1st, a 16% chanceTOR goal, 11:17 of 2nd, a 8% chanceTOR goal, 14:59 of 3rd, a 17% chanceBUF 3.4TOR 2.9

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted.

Where the attempts came from

Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Alex Tuch · Tage Thompson · Zach Benson13:2746.236.42-1
Jason Zucker · Ryan McLeod · Jack Quinn11:5440.052.62-2
Josh Doan · Noah Ostlund · Konsta Helenius11:2276.075.60-0
Beck Malenstyn · Peyton Krebs · Tyson Kozak8:5826.710.71-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Bowen Byram · Owen Power9:3347.649.70-1
Mattias Samuelsson · Rasmus Dahlin7:5450.046.23-1
Mattias Samuelsson · Michael Kesselring5:0963.698.10-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 3 2 5 2 0 7 0 26:24 0.47 25-13 0.96-0.90
23 Mattias Samuelsson D 0 3 3 2 0 0 4 21:41 15-21 0.47-0.69
72 Tage Thompson C 1 1 2 1 0 2 1 18:57 0.13 12-17 0.34-0.77
22 Jack Quinn R 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 14:21 0.38 11-14 0.74-0.69
89 Alex Tuch R 1 0 1 2 0 2 1 15:44 0.13 14-14 0.62-0.60
91 Josh Doan R 1 0 1 0 0 5 0 17:19 0.41 21-7 0.98-0.44
19 Peyton Krebs C 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 11:47 0.04 6-11 0.10-0.61
71 Ryan McLeod C 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 13:36 11-13 0.74-0.54
6 Zach Benson L 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 17:02 0.05 13-17 0.55-0.77
7 Michael Kesselring D 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 15:08 0.10 25-11 1.13-0.24
17 Jason Zucker L 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 15:55 0.64 9-12 0.71-0.51
24 Bowen Byram D 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22:48 0.29 17-27 1.11-1.14
25 Owen Power D 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 23:02 0.08 16-20 0.95-1.45
29 Beck Malenstyn L 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 11:54 4-13 0.07-0.61
48 Tyson Kozak C 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 11:20 10-13 0.26-0.76
73 Zach Metsa D 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 08:17 0.02 11-6 0.47-0.52
86 Noah Ostlund C 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 18:33 0.12 25-8 1.35-0.55
94 Konsta Helenius C 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 16:12 0.13 25-8 1.09-0.57
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
92 Colten Ellis W 18 16 2 47:46 2.22 +0.22
1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 5 3 2 12:14 0.54 -1.46

Toronto Maple Leafs

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
John Tavares · Matias Maccelli · Matthew Knies11:5758.860.21-1
Max Domi · Auston Matthews · Bobby McMann10:5856.560.82-2
Calle Jarnkrok · Scott Laughton · Steven Lorentz9:5150.066.30-0
Nicolas Roy · Nick Robertson · Easton Cowan7:4853.37.70-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Jake McCabe10:5657.981.71-1
Troy Stecher · Simon Benoit10:4238.57.70-0
Morgan Rielly · Brandon Carlo10:0261.574.72-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
11 Max Domi C 1 2 3 1 0 3 1 15:55 0.32 15-17 0.90-0.74
34 Auston Matthews C 1 2 3 0 0 3 1 19:36 0.60 22-15 1.28-0.78
74 Bobby McMann C 1 1 2 -1 0 4 2 17:40 0.30 20-15 1.11-0.62
89 Matthew Knies L 1 0 1 -1 0 2 3 17:44 0.31 12-12 0.84-0.78
63 Matias Maccelli L 0 1 1 -1 0 3 1 15:36 0.33 10-14 0.71-0.81
91 John Tavares C 0 1 1 -1 0 0 3 19:58 0.25 11-19 0.72-1.07
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D 0 1 1 -3 0 1 0 21:43 0.03 15-18 0.95-0.41
10 Nicolas Roy C 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 09:44 9-8 0.04-0.51
14 Nick Robertson L 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 13:17 14-15 0.41-0.69
18 Steven Lorentz C 0 0 0 0 2 1 5 13:04 0.14 9-9 0.44-0.22
19 Calle Jarnkrok C 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 11:59 0.26 9-10 0.44-0.32
21 Scott Laughton C 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 15:05 0.05 8-14 0.44-0.42
22 Jake McCabe D 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 21:54 0.24 20-16 1.27-0.32
25 Brandon Carlo D 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 17:15 10-13 0.90-0.39
28 Troy Stecher D 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 19:47 0.01 20-23 0.50-1.59
44 Morgan Rielly D 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 20:52 0.02 17-13 0.91-0.81
44 Simon Benoit D 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 16:40 15-25 0.30-1.54
53 Easton Cowan R 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 11:14 0.01 9-14 0.21-0.63
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
53 Joseph Woll L 30 24 6 58:08 2.86 -3.14