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Mattias Samuelsson

#23 · Defence · Buffalo Sabres

Born Mar 14, 2000 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA (age 26) · 6'4", 234 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 32nd overall in 2018 by BUF (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2025-26. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Mattias Ekholm EDM · 41 P in 82 GP Justin Faulk DET · 40 P in 78 GP Bowen Byram BUF · 42 P in 82 GP Brandt Clarke LAK · 40 P in 82 GP Sam Malinski COL · 40 P in 82 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402020-21: 2 points220-212021-22: 10 points1021-222022-23: 10 points1022-232023-24: 7 points723-242024-25: 14 points1424-252025-26: 41 points4125-262026-27: 2 points226-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2020-21 BUF 12 0 2 2 -8 4 10 20 0.17 $925K
2021-22 BUF 42 0 10 10 -10 16 44 100 0.24 $925K
2022-23 BUF 55 2 8 10 14 20 76 107 0.18 $925K
2023-24 BUF 41 1 6 7 4 26 44 106 0.17 $4.286M
2024-25 BUF 62 4 10 14 3 22 52 105 0.23 $4.286M
2025-26 BUF 78 13 28 41 41 28 109 132 0.53 $4.286M
2026-27 BUF 5 1 1 2 -3 4 6 4 0.40 $4.286M
7 seasons Career 295 21 65 86 41 120 341 574 0.29

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2025-26 BUF 13 3 4 7 4 2 19 44 0.54
1 season Playoffs 13 3 4 7 4 2 19 44 0.54

2025-26 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
78 13 28 41 41 28 109 132 0.53 11.9 22:50

Contract

$4.286MCap hitends in 2030, then UFA
$105KCap dollars per point41 points in 78 games
$820KCap dollars per goal above replacement5.2 goals above replacement
$5.2MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$917KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 715 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Buffalo Sabres on Oct 12, 2022, as an extension of the contract he was on: 7 years and $30M, beginning in 2023-24. It runs through 2029-30, with 4 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2023-24 $4.286M $2.286M $2M $4.286M
2024-25 $4.286M $4.286M $0 $4.286M
2025-26 $4.286M $4.286M $0 $4.286M
2026-27 $4.286M $4.286M $0 $4.286M
2027-28 $4.286M $4.286M $0 $4.286M
2028-29 $4.286M $4.286M $0 $4.286M
2029-30 $4.286M $4.286M $0 $4.286M

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Oct 12, 2022 Buffalo Sabres Extension 2023-24 to 2029-30 7 $30M $4.286M
Mar 25, 2020 Buffalo Sabres Entry-level 2020-21 to 2022-23 3 $2.775M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2025-26 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2025-26 playoff analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+3.4Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.6Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+2.4Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence+0.6Even-strength defence+1.9Power play0.0Penalty kill-0.3Penalties+0.2

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. A playoff run is too short to rank anyone on.

-202462020-212021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

56.8Corsi for %242 attempts for, 184 against
+4.5CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
57.8Expected goals for %10.6 expected for, 7.8 against
+5.1xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
56.6Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
58.8Goals for %10 for, 7 against
101.2PDO9.8% shooting + 91.4% saves
35Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 135 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Mattias Samuelsson · Rasmus Dahlin13143:0158.158.27-4
Mattias Samuelsson · Owen Power1335:4661.565.61-0
Conor Timmins · Mattias Samuelsson1323:3638.056.80-0
Mattias Samuelsson · Bowen Byram1115:3165.952.01-2

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

3Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.8Expected goalsfrom 24 unblocked attempts
+2.2Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.15 expected goals per 60 minutes18th
Shot quality 3.1% chance per attempt25th
Finishing +2.2 goals above expected92ndOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 51 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest in these playoffs.

0123Goals 3Expected 0.8

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took in these playoffs, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 13, 2026 @ CHI W 5-1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 18:59
Apr 9, 2026 vs CBJ W 5-0 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 21:03
Apr 8, 2026 @ NYR W 5-3 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 20:39
Apr 6, 2026 vs TBL W 4-2 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 22:44
Apr 4, 2026 @ WSH L 2-6 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 19:54
Apr 2, 2026 @ OTT L 1-4 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 20:49
Mar 31, 2026 vs NYI W 4-3 0 1 1 0 2 1 3 22:44
Mar 28, 2026 vs SEA W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 3 4 26:14
Mar 27, 2026 vs DET L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 5 21:51
Mar 25, 2026 vs BOS L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 21:16
Mar 22, 2026 @ ANA L 5-6 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 22:44
Mar 21, 2026 @ LAK W 4-1 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 21:40
Mar 19, 2026 @ SJS W 5-0 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 18:36
Mar 17, 2026 @ VGK W 2-0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 22:20
Mar 12, 2026 vs WSH L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 20:30
Mar 10, 2026 vs SJS W 6-3 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 22:25
Mar 8, 2026 vs TBL W 8-7 0 0 0 -3 2 3 2 24:57
Mar 7, 2026 vs NSH W 3-2 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 24:36
Mar 5, 2026 @ PIT W 5-1 1 0 1 3 0 1 0 21:19
Mar 3, 2026 vs VGK W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 25:15
Feb 28, 2026 @ TBL W 6-2 0 0 0 -1 2 1 1 24:08
Feb 27, 2026 @ FLA W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 23:42
Feb 25, 2026 @ NJD W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 24:15
Feb 5, 2026 vs PIT L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 22:42
Feb 3, 2026 @ TBL L 3-4 (OT) 2 0 2 1 0 3 2 24:01
Feb 2, 2026 @ FLA W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 27:26
Jan 31, 2026 vs MTL L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 21:48
Jan 29, 2026 vs LAK W 4-1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 23:24
Jan 27, 2026 @ TOR W 7-4 0 3 3 2 0 0 4 21:41
Jan 24, 2026 @ NYI W 5-0 0 2 2 4 2 1 2 21:32
Jan 22, 2026 @ MTL W 4-2 0 1 1 -1 2 0 5 23:03
Jan 20, 2026 @ NSH W 5-3 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 25:53
Jan 19, 2026 @ CAR L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 27:33
Jan 17, 2026 vs MIN L 4-5 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 0 0 2 26:30
Jan 15, 2026 vs MTL W 5-3 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 25:24
Jan 14, 2026 vs PHI W 5-2 1 0 1 2 0 1 3 24:11
Jan 12, 2026 vs FLA L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 0 2 6 24:27
Jan 10, 2026 vs ANA W 5-3 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 23:59
Jan 8, 2026 @ NYR W 5-2 1 1 2 1 0 1 2 23:56
Jan 6, 2026 vs VAN W 5-3 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 24:36
Jan 3, 2026 @ CBJ L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 20:59
Dec 31, 2025 @ DAL W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 22:56
Dec 29, 2025 @ STL W 4-2 0 1 1 -1 0 2 0 22:14
Dec 27, 2025 vs BOS W 4-1 1 2 3 3 0 2 6 24:56
Dec 23, 2025 @ OTT W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 26:39
Dec 21, 2025 @ NJD W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 26:07
Dec 20, 2025 vs NYI W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 24:12
Dec 18, 2025 vs PHI W 5-3 0 2 2 1 2 1 1 19:43
Dec 14, 2025 @ SEA W 3-1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 26:30
Dec 11, 2025 @ VAN W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 26:32
Dec 9, 2025 @ EDM W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 26:09
Dec 8, 2025 @ CGY L 4-7 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 20:24
Dec 5, 2025 @ WPG L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 23:21
Dec 3, 2025 @ PHI L 2-5 0 0 0 -2 0 3 1 20:57
Dec 1, 2025 vs WPG W 5-1 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 21:36
Nov 29, 2025 @ MIN W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 2 1 1 23:34
Nov 28, 2025 vs NJD L 0-5 0 0 0 -2 0 4 3 17:42
Nov 26, 2025 @ PIT L 2-4 0 1 1 1 0 5 1 27:47
Nov 23, 2025 vs CAR W 4-1 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 23:44
Nov 21, 2025 vs CHI W 9-3 1 0 1 3 0 1 1 24:33
Nov 19, 2025 vs CGY L 2-6 1 1 2 1 0 3 0 22:44
Nov 17, 2025 vs EDM W 5-1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 25:36
Nov 15, 2025 @ DET W 5-4 (OT) 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 22:31
Nov 13, 2025 @ COL L 3-6 0 0 0 -3 0 1 2 23:13
Nov 12, 2025 @ UTA L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22:03
Nov 8, 2025 @ CAR L 3-6 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 23:35
Nov 6, 2025 vs STL L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 16:09
Nov 4, 2025 vs UTA L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 21:17
Nov 1, 2025 vs WSH W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 5 4 20:22
Oct 30, 2025 @ BOS L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 23:49
Oct 28, 2025 vs CBJ L 3-4 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 19:48
Oct 25, 2025 @ TOR L 3-4 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 2 1 3 22:43
Oct 24, 2025 vs TOR W 5-3 2 0 2 4 0 3 0 23:38
Oct 22, 2025 vs DET W 4-2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 20:41
Oct 20, 2025 @ MTL L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 19:13
Oct 18, 2025 vs FLA W 3-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 22:01
Oct 11, 2025 @ BOS L 1-3 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 16:28
Oct 9, 2025 vs NYR L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 19:26