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Noah Ostlund

#86 · Centre · Buffalo Sabres

Born Mar 11, 2004 in Stockholm, SWE (age 22) · 5'11", 182 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 16th overall in 2022 by BUF (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2025-26. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Anthony Duclair NYI · 27 P in 62 GP Gabe Perreault NYR · 27 P in 49 GP Danila Yurov MIN · 27 P in 73 GP Shane Wright SEA · 27 P in 74 GP Jack Drury COL · 27 P in 82 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

010202024-25: 0 points024-252025-26: 27 points2725-262026-27: 3 points326-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2024-25 BUF 8 0 0 0 -6 2 4 1 0.00 $887K
2025-26 BUF 60 11 16 27 11 14 60 5 0.45 $887K
2026-27 BUF 5 1 2 3 2 0 14 0 0.60 $887K
3 seasons Career 73 12 18 30 7 16 78 6 0.41

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2025-26 BUF 3 1 1 2 3 2 4 0 0.67
1 season Playoffs 3 1 1 2 3 2 4 0 0.67

2025-26 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
60 11 16 27 11 14 60 5 0.45 18.3 13:58

Contract

$887KCap hitends in 2027, then RFA
$33KCap dollars per point27 points in 60 games
$212KCap dollars per goal above replacement4.2 goals above replacement
$4.3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$3.4MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 715 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Buffalo Sabres on Jul 15, 2022, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $4.275M, beginning in 2024-25. It runs through 2026-27, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2024-25 $887K $855K $95K $475K $950K
2025-26 $887K $855K $0 $475K $855K
2026-27 $887K $855K $0 $475K $855K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Sep 14, 2026 Buffalo Sabres Extension 2027-28 to 2034-35 8 $52.8M $6.6M
Jul 15, 2022 Buffalo Sabres Entry-level 2024-25 to 2026-27 signed for 2022-23, slid 3 $4.275M $887K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2025-26 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2025-26 playoff analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

0.0Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.1Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence+0.1Even-strength defence+0.0Power play-0.1Penalty kill+0.0Penalties-0.2

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. A playoff run is too short to rank anyone on.

-10123452024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

62.2Corsi for %23 attempts for, 14 against
+6.5CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
58.8Expected goals for %1.1 expected for, 0.8 against
-1.4xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
69.0Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
100.0Goals for %2 for, 0 against
113.3PDO13.3% shooting + 100.0% saves
3Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Josh Doan · Noah Ostlund · Zach Benson318:4374.181.62-0
Alex Tuch · Noah Ostlund · Zach Benson10:570.00.00-0
Peyton Krebs · Josh Doan · Noah Ostlund10:420.00.00-0
Jason Zucker · Jack Quinn · Noah Ostlund10:2950.0100.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.2Expected goalsfrom 3 unblocked attempts
-0.2Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.30 expected goals per 60 minutes2nd
Shot quality 5.8% chance per attempt10th
Finishing -0.2 goals above expected53rdOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 81 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest in these playoffs.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.2Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took in these playoffs, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Mar 25, 2026 vs BOS L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:31
Mar 22, 2026 @ ANA L 5-6 (OT) 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 14:42
Mar 21, 2026 @ LAK W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 13:01
Mar 19, 2026 @ SJS W 5-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 16:06
Mar 17, 2026 @ VGK W 2-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 15:46
Mar 14, 2026 vs TOR W 3-2 (SO) 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 15:46
Mar 12, 2026 vs WSH L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16:49
Mar 10, 2026 vs SJS W 6-3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 15:29
Mar 8, 2026 vs TBL W 8-7 0 1 1 -1 2 2 1 16:34
Mar 7, 2026 vs NSH W 3-2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 14:46
Mar 5, 2026 @ PIT W 5-1 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 16:42
Mar 3, 2026 vs VGK W 3-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 14:19
Feb 28, 2026 @ TBL W 6-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 14:46
Feb 27, 2026 @ FLA W 3-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 14:23
Feb 25, 2026 @ NJD W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 15:28
Feb 5, 2026 vs PIT L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 12:23
Feb 3, 2026 @ TBL L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 14:36
Feb 2, 2026 @ FLA W 5-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 12:15
Jan 31, 2026 vs MTL L 2-4 1 0 1 -2 0 1 0 13:18
Jan 29, 2026 vs LAK W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:58
Jan 27, 2026 @ TOR W 7-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 18:33
Jan 24, 2026 @ NYI W 5-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16:56
Jan 22, 2026 @ MTL W 4-2 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 13:02
Jan 20, 2026 @ NSH W 5-3 2 0 2 1 0 3 0 16:58
Jan 19, 2026 @ CAR L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15:23
Jan 17, 2026 vs MIN L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 16:09
Jan 15, 2026 vs MTL W 5-3 0 2 2 0 0 3 0 17:21
Jan 14, 2026 vs PHI W 5-2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 11:32
Jan 10, 2026 vs ANA W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10:32
Jan 8, 2026 @ NYR W 5-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 12:59
Jan 6, 2026 vs VAN W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 10:59
Jan 3, 2026 @ CBJ L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:36
Dec 31, 2025 @ DAL W 4-1 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 12:56
Dec 29, 2025 @ STL W 4-2 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 12:57
Dec 27, 2025 vs BOS W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 16:01
Dec 23, 2025 @ OTT W 3-2 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 15:01
Dec 21, 2025 @ NJD W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 17:08
Dec 20, 2025 vs NYI W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:42
Dec 18, 2025 vs PHI W 5-3 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 13:40
Dec 14, 2025 @ SEA W 3-1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 12:04
Dec 5, 2025 @ WPG L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 10:32
Dec 3, 2025 @ PHI L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10:34
Dec 1, 2025 vs WPG W 5-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 12:03
Nov 29, 2025 @ MIN W 3-2 (SO) 0 1 1 -1 0 0 0 12:20
Nov 28, 2025 vs NJD L 0-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 13:46
Nov 26, 2025 @ PIT L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 13:27
Nov 23, 2025 vs CAR W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:49
Nov 21, 2025 vs CHI W 9-3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 14:31
Nov 19, 2025 vs CGY L 2-6 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 12:36
Nov 17, 2025 vs EDM W 5-1 2 0 2 2 0 3 0 10:42
Nov 15, 2025 @ DET W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 15:14
Nov 13, 2025 @ COL L 3-6 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 18:18
Nov 12, 2025 @ UTA L 2-5 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 16:59
Nov 8, 2025 @ CAR L 3-6 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 08:51
Nov 6, 2025 vs STL L 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13:46
Nov 4, 2025 vs UTA L 1-2 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 15:14
Oct 28, 2025 vs CBJ L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 12:16
Oct 25, 2025 @ TOR L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 08:39
Oct 24, 2025 vs TOR W 5-3 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 12:28
Oct 22, 2025 vs DET W 4-2 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 09:58