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Justin Williams

#14 · Right wing · Carolina Hurricanes

Born Oct 4, 1981 in Cobourg, Ontario, CAN · 6'1", 184 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 28th overall in 2000 by PHI (round 1)

Trophy case

Conn Smythe Trophy MVP of Stanley Cup Playoffs 2013-14

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2019-20. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Maxime Comtois ANA · 11 P in 29 GP Dominic Toninato FLA · 11 P in 46 GP Michael Grabner ARI · 11 P in 46 GP Dylan Gambrell SJS · 11 P in 50 GP Zack Smith CHI · 11 P in 50 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02040602000-01: 25 points2500-012001-02: 40 points402002-03: 24 points2402-032003-04: 44 points442005-06: 76 points7605-062006-07: 67 points672007-08: 30 points3007-082008-09: 14 points142009-10: 29 points2909-102010-11: 57 points572011-12: 59 points5911-122012-13: 33 points332013-14: 43 points4313-142014-15: 41 points412015-16: 52 points5215-162016-17: 48 points482017-18: 51 points5117-182018-19: 53 points532019-20: 11 points1119-20

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2000-01 PHI 63 12 13 25 6 22 99 20 0.40
2001-02 PHI 75 17 23 40 11 32 162 33 0.53
2002-03 PHI 41 8 16 24 15 22 105 1 0.59
2003-04 PHI 47 6 20 26 10 32 107 20 0.55
2003-04 CAR 32 5 13 18 2 32 96 17 0.56
2005-06 CAR 82 31 45 76 1 60 255 32 0.93 $1.225M
2006-07 CAR 82 33 34 67 -11 73 258 85 0.82 $3.5M
2007-08 CAR 37 9 21 30 2 43 106 43 0.81 $3.5M
2008-09 CAR 32 3 7 10 -9 9 80 30 0.31 $3.5M
2008-09 LAK 12 1 3 4 1 8 28 10 0.33
2009-10 LAK 49 10 19 29 3 39 140 34 0.59 $3.5M
2010-11 LAK 73 22 35 57 14 59 213 51 0.78 $3.5M
2011-12 LAK 82 22 37 59 10 44 241 36 0.72 $3.65M
2012-13 LAK 48 11 22 33 15 22 142 29 0.69 $3.825M
2013-14 LAK 82 19 24 43 14 48 239 44 0.52 $3.825M
2014-15 LAK 81 18 23 41 8 29 174 29 0.51 $3.825M
2015-16 WSH 82 22 30 52 15 36 201 32 0.63 $3.25M
2016-17 WSH 80 24 24 48 14 50 167 28 0.60 $3.25M
2017-18 CAR 82 16 35 51 -9 56 198 79 0.62 $4.5M
2018-19 CAR 82 23 30 53 -4 44 237 55 0.65 $4.5M
2019-20 CAR 20 8 3 11 2 6 60 20 0.55 $700K
19 seasons Career 1264 320 477 797 110 766 3308 728 0.63

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2001-02 PHI 5 0 0 0 -3 4 15 7 0.00
2002-03 PHI 12 1 5 6 2 8 21 9 0.50
2005-06 CAR 25 7 11 18 12 34 71 23 0.72
2009-10 LAK 3 0 1 1 0 2 4 6 0.33
2010-11 LAK 6 3 1 4 0 2 16 1 0.67
2011-12 LAK 20 4 11 15 8 12 58 10 0.75
2012-13 LAK 18 6 3 9 0 8 57 21 0.50
2013-14 LAK 26 9 16 25 13 35 67 31 0.96
2015-16 WSH 12 3 4 7 -3 14 30 12 0.58
2016-17 WSH 13 3 6 9 0 6 29 14 0.69
2018-19 CAR 15 4 3 7 1 18 43 17 0.47
2019-20 CAR 7 1 0 1 0 9 18 7 0.14
12 seasons Playoffs 162 41 61 102 30 152 429 158 0.63

2019-20 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
20 8 3 11 2 6 60 20 0.55 13.3 13:37

Contract

$700KCap hitends in 2020, then UFA
$64KCap dollars per point11 points in 20 games
$483KCap dollars per goal above replacement1.5 goals above replacement
$1.9MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1.2MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 668 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. It runs through 2019-20, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2019-20 $700K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2019-20 to 2019-20 $700K
2017-18 to 2018-19 $4.5M
2015-16 to 2016-17 $3.25M
2012-13 to 2014-15 $3.825M
2011-12 to 2014-15 $3.65M
2006-07 to 2010-11 $3.5M
2005-06 to 2005-06 $1.225M

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2019-20 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2019-20 analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+1.5Goals above replacement373rd of 670 skaters, 264th of 439 forwards
+0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.7Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 439 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-0.2 49th percentileEven-strength defence+0.2 53rd percentilePower play+0.5 85th percentilePenalty kill-0.2 24th percentilePenalties+0.4 52nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0510152010-112012-132014-152016-172018-19Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

56.3Corsi for %209 attempts for, 162 against
+4.1CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.5Expected goals for %8.5 expected for, 8.4 against
-0.1xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
54.5Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
56.5Goals for %13 for, 10 against
100.9PDO12.0% shooting + 88.9% saves
57Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Williams · Jordan Staal · Warren Foegele1065:3160.449.94-3
Justin Williams · Jordan Staal · Brock McGinn738:3563.467.95-0
Justin Williams · Erik Haula · Brock McGinn419:1836.418.11-1
Justin Williams · Jordan Martinook · Lucas Wallmark214:2060.085.50-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

8Goalsnot counting empty-netters
6.9Expected goalsfrom 74 unblocked attempts
+1.1Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.52 expected goals per 60 minutes99th
Shot quality 9.3% chance per attempt84th
Finishing +1.1 goals above expected69thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 410 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

02468Game 20Goals 8Expected 6.9

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Mar 10, 2020 @ DET W 5-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 12:10
Mar 8, 2020 @ PIT W 6-2 2 0 2 1 0 5 1 12:03
Mar 7, 2020 @ NYI W 3-2 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 8 1 19:18
Mar 5, 2020 @ PHI L 1-4 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 14:19
Feb 29, 2020 @ MTL L 3-4 (OT) 1 0 1 1 2 3 1 12:32
Feb 28, 2020 vs COL L 2-3 0 0 0 -1 0 4 1 14:17
Feb 25, 2020 vs DAL L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 14:03
Feb 22, 2020 @ TOR W 6-3 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 14:29
Feb 21, 2020 vs NYR L 2-5 0 0 0 -2 2 3 1 16:10
Feb 18, 2020 @ NSH W 4-1 0 2 2 0 0 2 2 13:06
Feb 16, 2020 vs EDM L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 15:01
Feb 14, 2020 vs NJD W 5-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 11:58
Feb 11, 2020 @ DAL L 1-4 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 13:55
Feb 8, 2020 @ VGK W 6-5 (SO) 0 0 0 -3 0 2 1 14:54
Feb 6, 2020 @ ARI W 5-3 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 10:57
Feb 4, 2020 @ STL L 3-6 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 14:18
Feb 2, 2020 vs VAN W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 09:44
Jan 31, 2020 vs VGK L 3-4 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 14:14
Jan 21, 2020 vs WPG W 4-1 2 0 2 1 0 5 0 11:45
Jan 19, 2020 vs NYI W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 13:06