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Sebastian Aho

#20 · Centre · Carolina Hurricanes

Born Jul 26, 1997 in Rauma, FIN (age 29) · 6'0", 189 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 35th overall in 2015 by CAR (round 2)

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Stanley Cup NHL Champion 2025-26

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Clayton Keller UTA · 7 P in 4 GP Kyle Connor WPG · 7 P in 4 GP Nick Schmaltz UTA · 7 P in 4 GP Leo Carlsson ANA · 7 P in 3 GP Cole Perfetti WPG · 6 P in 4 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0204060802016-17: 49 points4916-172017-18: 65 points6517-182018-19: 83 points8318-192019-20: 66 points6619-202020-21: 57 points5720-212021-22: 81 points8121-222022-23: 67 points6722-232023-24: 89 points8923-242024-25: 74 points7424-252025-26: 80 points8025-262026-27: 7 points726-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2016-17 CAR 82 24 25 49 -1 26 214 51 0.60 $925K
2017-18 CAR 78 29 36 65 4 24 200 65 0.83 $925K
2018-19 CAR 82 30 53 83 25 26 243 65 1.01 $925K
2019-20 CAR 68 38 28 66 10 26 206 55 0.97 $8.454M
2020-21 CAR 56 24 33 57 16 32 148 38 1.02 $8.46M
2021-22 CAR 79 37 44 81 18 38 221 76 1.03 $8.46M
2022-23 CAR 75 36 31 67 8 42 218 59 0.89 $8.46M
2023-24 CAR 78 36 53 89 34 36 216 48 1.14 $8.46M
2024-25 CAR 79 29 45 74 7 46 207 59 0.94 $9.75M
2025-26 CAR 79 27 53 80 11 46 195 63 1.01 $9.75M
2026-27 CAR 4 4 3 7 0 10 15 2 1.75 $9.75M
11 seasons Career 760 314 404 718 132 352 2083 581 0.94

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2018-19 CAR 15 5 7 12 3 2 39 26 0.80
2019-20 CAR 8 3 9 12 6 4 15 18 1.50
2020-21 CAR 11 6 5 11 5 12 38 24 1.00
2021-22 CAR 14 4 7 11 0 12 32 23 0.79
2022-23 CAR 15 5 7 12 6 12 42 28 0.80
2023-24 CAR 11 4 8 12 1 2 30 21 1.09
2024-25 CAR 15 7 8 15 3 8 41 45 1.00
2025-26 CAR 19 5 7 12 4 10 37 27 0.63
8 seasons Playoffs 108 39 58 97 28 62 274 212 0.90

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
4 4 3 7 0 10 15 2 1.75 26.7 20:00

Contract

$9.75MCap hitends in 2032, then UFA
$1.393MCap dollars per point7 points in 4 games
$888KCap dollars per goal above replacement11.0 goals above replacement, projected
$11.3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1.5MValueworth less cap hit

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over all of it: what the player has done so far, plus the games left at a rate taken from his last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 647 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Carolina Hurricanes on Jul 26, 2023, as an extension of the contract he was on: 8 years and $78M, beginning in 2024-25. It runs through 2031-32, with 5 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2024-25 $9.75M $10M $2M $12M NMC
2025-26 $9.75M $10M $2M $12M NMC
2026-27 $9.75M $7M $2M $9M NMC
2027-28 $9.75M $10M $2M $12M NMC
2028-29 $9.75M $8M $2M $10M NMC
2029-30 $9.75M $6.6M $2M $8.6M NMC
2030-31 $9.75M $5.2M $2M $7.2M NMC
2031-32 $9.75M $5.2M $2M $7.2M M-NTC, NMC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 26, 2023 Carolina Hurricanes Extension 2024-25 to 2031-32 8 $78M $9.75M
Jul 1, 2019 Carolina Hurricanes Offer sheet, matched 2019-20 to 2023-24 5 $42.295M $8.454M
Jun 13, 2016 Carolina Hurricanes Entry-level 2016-17 to 2018-19 3 $5.325M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 4 games (+1.1 goals above replacement), plus the 77 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+11.0Goals above replacement51st of 647 skaters, 40th of 422 forwards
+1.8Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+6.5Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 422 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+5.2 91st percentileEven-strength defence-1.9 15th percentilePower play+2.7 96th percentilePenalty kill+1.2 99th percentilePenalties-0.7 10th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

0510152016-172018-192020-212022-232024-252026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

72.1Corsi for %49 attempts for, 19 against
+16.1CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
70.0Expected goals for %2.4 expected for, 1.0 against
+20.1xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
74.5Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
50.0Goals for %2 for, 2 against
83.7PDO8.7% shooting + 75.0% saves
11Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
William Carrier · Sebastian Aho · Andrei Svechnikov218:1680.085.21-2
Sebastian Aho · Eric Robinson · Andrei Svechnikov211:1068.436.90-0
Taylor Hall · Sebastian Aho · Jackson Blake14:0850.038.00-0
Mark Jankowski · Sebastian Aho · Andrei Svechnikov10:580.00.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

4Goalsnot counting empty-netters
1.8Expected goalsfrom 21 unblocked attempts
+2.2Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.31 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 8.3% chance per attempt1st
Finishing +2.2 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

01234Goals 4Expected 1.8

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 6, 2026 @ MTL W 6-4 1 2 3 0 2 3 2 19:56
Oct 3, 2026 @ PHI W 3-2 (OT) 2 1 3 0 2 6 0 20:30
Oct 2, 2026 vs WSH L 2-5 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 18:39
Sep 29, 2026 vs FLA L 0-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 4 4 0 20:56