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Mathieu Joseph

#21 · Right wing · Edmonton Oilers

Born Feb 9, 1997 in Laval, Quebec, CAN (age 29) · 6'1", 188 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 120th overall in 2015 by TBL (round 4)

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Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Adam Klapka CGY · 1 P in 4 GP Alexander Wennberg SJS · 1 P in 4 GP Anthony Cirelli TBL · 1 P in 4 GP Anthony Duclair NYI · 1 P in 4 GP Anton Lundell FLA · 1 P in 4 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

01020302018-19: 26 points2618-192019-20: 7 points719-202020-21: 19 points1920-212021-22: 30 points3021-222022-23: 18 points1822-232023-24: 35 points3523-242024-25: 14 points1424-252025-26: 11 points1125-262026-27: 1 points126-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2018-19 TBL 70 13 13 26 5 26 95 129 0.37 $728K
2019-20 TBL 37 4 3 7 -2 16 35 47 0.19 $728K
2020-21 TBL 56 12 7 19 3 10 59 82 0.34 $738K
2021-22 TBL 58 8 10 18 4 23 67 85 0.31 $738K
2021-22 OTT 11 4 8 12 8 6 19 21 1.09
2022-23 OTT 56 3 15 18 5 36 66 80 0.32 $2.95M
2023-24 OTT 72 11 24 35 -4 51 124 105 0.49 $2.95M
2024-25 STL 60 4 10 14 -6 28 69 121 0.23 $2.95M
2025-26 STL 39 2 9 11 -5 4 29 85 0.28 $2.95M
2025-26 LAK 12 0 0 0 -2 5 7 30 0.00
2026-27 EDM 4 0 1 1 0 2 3 16 0.25 $1M
9 seasons Career 475 61 100 161 6 207 573 801 0.34

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2018-19 TBL 4 0 0 0 -2 0 4 12 0.00
2020-21 TBL 6 0 2 2 0 0 4 22 0.33
2024-25 STL 3 1 0 1 1 10 6 12 0.33
2025-26 LAK 2 0 0 0 -2 2 2 8 0.00
4 seasons Playoffs 15 1 2 3 -3 12 16 54 0.20

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
4 0 1 1 0 2 3 16 0.25 0.0 14:58

Contract

$1MCap hitends in 2027, then UFA
$1MCap dollars per point1 points in 4 games
$309KCap dollars per goal above replacement3.2 goals above replacement, projected
$3.9MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$2.9MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 648 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Edmonton Oilers on Jul 1, 2026, as a new contract: 1 year and $1M, beginning in 2026-27. It runs through 2026-27, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2026-27 $1M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2026 Edmonton Oilers New contract 2026-27 to 2026-27 1 $1M $1M
Jul 28, 2022 Ottawa Senators New contract 2022-23 to 2025-26 4 $11.8M $2.95M
Dec 23, 2020 Tampa Bay Lightning New contract 2020-21 to 2021-22 2 $1.475M $738K
Dec 24, 2016 Tampa Bay Lightning Entry-level 2017-18 to 2019-20 signed for 2016-17, slid 3 $2.775M $728K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 4 games (-0.2 goals above replacement), plus the 58 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+3.2Goals above replacement275th of 648 skaters, 195th of 423 forwards
+0.5Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+1.0Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 423 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-3.2 7th percentileEven-strength defence+2.5 92nd percentilePower play-0.1 38th percentilePenalty kill+0.5 93rd percentilePenalties+1.3 85th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

024682018-192020-212022-232024-252026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

31.6Corsi for %25 attempts for, 54 against
-27.5CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
36.3Expected goals for %1.3 expected for, 2.3 against
-26.9xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
37.9Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
40.0Goals for %2 for, 3 against
102.3PDO15.4% shooting + 87.0% saves
7Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Mathieu Joseph · Alex Formenton · Owen Michaels327:2828.332.72-2
Mathieu Joseph · Max Jones · Colton Dach110:0941.246.20-1
Connor McDavid · Mathieu Joseph · Alex Formenton21:2233.31.30-0
Mathieu Joseph · Trent Frederic · Owen Michaels11:180.00.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.4Expected goalsfrom 6 unblocked attempts
-0.4Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.38 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 6.3% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.4 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.4Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 7, 2026 @ ANA W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 14:43
Oct 3, 2026 vs SEA W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 15:04
Oct 1, 2026 @ VAN W 9-7 0 1 1 0 0 2 5 15:07
Sep 29, 2026 vs VAN L 5-6 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 2 0 5 14:57