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Photo of Pavel Dorofeyev

Pavel Dorofeyev

#16 · Right wing · New York Rangers

Born Oct 26, 2000 in Nizhny Tagil, RUS (age 25) · 6'1", 194 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 79th overall in 2019 by VGK (round 3)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

J.T. Miller NYR · 2 P in 5 GP Tye Kartye NYR · 2 P in 5 GP Alex Formenton EDM · 2 P in 4 GP Alex Iafallo WPG · 2 P in 4 GP Arshdeep Bains VAN · 2 P in 4 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02040602021-22: 0 points021-222022-23: 9 points922-232023-24: 24 points2423-242024-25: 52 points5224-252025-26: 64 points6425-262026-27: 2 points226-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2021-22 VGK 2 0 0 0 -1 2 1 0 0.00 $925K
2022-23 VGK 18 7 2 9 5 6 40 3 0.50 $925K
2023-24 VGK 47 13 11 24 8 12 97 18 0.51 $825K
2024-25 VGK 82 35 17 52 2 30 254 28 0.63 $1.835M
2025-26 VGK 82 37 27 64 -3 24 230 27 0.78 $1.835M
2026-27 NYR 5 1 1 2 -1 0 15 2 0.40 $11M
6 seasons Career 236 93 58 151 10 74 637 78 0.64

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2023-24 VGK 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
2024-25 VGK 8 1 1 2 -7 2 27 6 0.25
2025-26 VGK 22 12 4 16 2 0 58 5 0.73
3 seasons Playoffs 31 13 5 18 -5 2 85 11 0.58

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
5 1 1 2 -1 0 15 2 0.40 6.7 16:17

Contract

$11MCap hitends in 2033, then UFA
$5.5MCap dollars per point2 points in 5 games
$936KCap dollars per goal above replacement11.8 goals above replacement, projected
$12MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over all of it: what the player has done so far, plus the games left at a rate taken from his last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 647 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the New York Rangers on Jun 26, 2026, as an extension of the contract he was on: 7 years and $77M, beginning in 2026-27. It runs through 2032-33, with 6 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2026-27 $11M
2027-28 $11M
2028-29 $11M
2029-30 $11M
2030-31 $11M
2031-32 $11M
2032-33 $11M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jun 26, 2026 New York Rangers Extension 2026-27 to 2032-33 7 $77M $11M
Jul 1, 2024 Vegas Golden Knights New contract 2024-25 to 2025-26 2 $3.67M $1.835M
Jul 19, 2023 Vegas Golden Knights New contract 2023-24 to 2023-24 1 $825K $825K
Jan 25, 2021 Vegas Golden Knights Entry-level 2020-21 to 2022-23 3 $2.775M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 5 games (+1.3 goals above replacement), plus the 74 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+11.8Goals above replacement43rd of 647 skaters, 33rd of 422 forwards
+2.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+8.2Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 422 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+3.4 82nd percentileEven-strength defence+1.6 80th percentilePower play+2.5 95th percentilePenalty kill+0.0 50th percentilePenalties+0.5 64th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

0510152021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

58.4Corsi for %66 attempts for, 47 against
+15.3CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
63.5Expected goals for %3.9 expected for, 2.3 against
+19.4xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
59.8Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
50.0Goals for %3 for, 3 against
92.5PDO8.3% shooting + 84.2% saves
16Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
J.T. Miller · Oliver Bjorkstrand · Pavel Dorofeyev427:2856.166.61-0
J.T. Miller · Pavel Dorofeyev · Tye Kartye323:3169.067.22-1
Pavel Dorofeyev · Will Cuylle · Noah Laba21:310.00.00-0
Mika Zibanejad · Pavel Dorofeyev · Gabe Perreault31:210.00.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
1.9Expected goalsfrom 21 unblocked attempts
-0.9Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.37 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 8.8% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.9 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.511.5Expected 1.9Goals 1

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 6, 2026 vs NYI W 5-2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 16:25
Oct 4, 2026 vs UTA W 4-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 17:57
Oct 2, 2026 @ DET W 2-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 17:30
Oct 1, 2026 vs TBL W 5-1 1 1 2 0 0 5 0 13:44
Sep 29, 2026 @ BOS L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 0 5 1 15:49