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Justin Sourdif

#34 · Centre · Washington Capitals

Born Mar 24, 2002 in Richmond, British Columbia, CAN (age 24) · 6'0", 200 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 87th overall in 2020 by FLA (round 3)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

A.J. Greer ANA · 1 P in 3 GP Aatu Räty VAN · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Killorn ANA · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Ovechkin WSH · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Turcotte LAK · 1 P in 3 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

01020302023-24: 0 points023-242024-25: 1 points124-252025-26: 35 points3525-262026-27: 1 points126-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2023-24 FLA 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0.00 $848K
2024-25 FLA 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 1.00 $848K
2025-26 WSH 78 15 20 35 17 35 108 98 0.45 $825K
2026-27 WSH 3 1 0 1 0 4 1 4 0.33 $825K
4 seasons Career 85 17 20 37 18 39 113 107 0.44

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
3 1 0 1 0 4 1 4 0.33 100.0 13:31

Contract

$825KCap hitends in 2027, then extended to 2035
$825KCap dollars per point1 points in 3 games
$516KCap dollars per goal above replacement1.6 goals above replacement, projected
$2.3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1.5MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 648 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Washington Capitals on Jun 28, 2025, as an extension of the contract he was on: 2 years and $1.65M, beginning in 2025-26. It runs through 2026-27, so this is its last season, and his extension takes over. His next contract is already signed: an extension with the Washington Capitals on Sep 15, 2026, 8 years and $50.8M at $6.35M a season, beginning in 2027-28.

Season Cap hit
2025-26 $825K
2026-27 $825K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Sep 15, 2026 Washington Capitals Extension not begun 2027-28 to 2034-35 8 $50.8M $6.35M
Jun 28, 2025 Washington Capitals Extension 2025-26 to 2026-27 2 $1.65M $825K
Sep 24, 2021 Florida Panthers Entry-level 2022-23 to 2024-25 signed for 2021-22, slid 3 $2.8M $848K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 3 games (-0.1 goals above replacement), plus the 42 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+1.6Goals above replacement379th of 648 skaters, 273rd of 423 forwards
+0.3Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.6Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 423 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-0.6 36th percentileEven-strength defence+0.5 60th percentilePower play-0.1 42nd percentilePenalty kill+0.2 79th percentilePenalties+0.6 65th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-2024682023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

46.9Corsi for %30 attempts for, 34 against
-0.4CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
42.7Expected goals for %1.2 expected for, 1.6 against
-9.3xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
42.1Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
50.0Goals for %1 for, 1 against
103.2PDO9.1% shooting + 94.1% saves
6Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Boone Jenner · Anthony Beauvillier · Justin Sourdif317:3046.950.11-1
Boone Jenner · Justin Sourdif · Ryan Leonard39:3676.582.80-0
Alex Tuch · Justin Sourdif · Ryan Leonard10:460.00.00-0
Boone Jenner · Aliaksei Protas · Justin Sourdif10:4450.00.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.3Expected goalsfrom 4 unblocked attempts
+0.7Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.41 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 6.9% chance per attempt1st
Finishing +0.7 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Goals 1Expected 0.3

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 7, 2026 vs PIT W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 15:08
Oct 3, 2026 @ TBL L 1-3 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 12:24
Oct 2, 2026 @ CAR W 5-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 13:00