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Luke Evangelista

#77 · Right wing · New Jersey Devils

Born Feb 21, 2002 in Toronto, Ontario, CAN (age 24) · 6'0", 183 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 42nd overall in 2020 by NSH (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2022-23. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Lukas Reichel CHI · 15 P in 23 GP Dylan Guenther ARI · 15 P in 33 GP Nathan Bastian NJD · 15 P in 43 GP Rem Pitlick MTL · 15 P in 46 GP Michael Eyssimont TBL · 15 P in 54 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

020402022-23: 15 points1522-232023-24: 39 points3923-242024-25: 32 points3224-252025-26: 56 points5625-262026-27: 3 points326-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2022-23 NSH 24 7 8 15 7 6 54 9 0.63 $798K
2023-24 NSH 80 16 23 39 0 18 172 30 0.49 $798K
2024-25 NSH 68 10 22 32 -2 22 134 28 0.47 $798K
2025-26 NSH 81 12 44 56 1 28 176 21 0.69 $3M
2026-27 NJD 4 2 1 3 1 2 12 1 0.75 $3M
5 seasons Career 257 47 98 145 7 76 548 89 0.56

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2023-24 NSH 6 1 0 1 0 2 14 2 0.17
1 season Playoffs 6 1 0 1 0 2 14 2 0.17

2022-23 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
24 7 8 15 7 6 54 9 0.63 13.0 16:34

Contract

$798KCap hitends in 2025, then RFA
$53KCap dollars per point15 points in 24 games
$510KCap dollars per goal above replacement1.6 goals above replacement
$1.9MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1.1MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 695 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Nashville Predators on Nov 9, 2020, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $2.875M, beginning in 2022-23. It runs through 2024-25, with 2 seasons left after this one, and he is then a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2022-23 $798K $750K $93K $133K $843K
2023-24 $798K $775K $0 $83K $775K
2024-25 $798K $775K $0 $83K $775K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Sep 15, 2026 New Jersey Devils Extension 2027-28 to 2031-32 5 $36.25M $7.25M
Oct 3, 2025 Nashville Predators New contract 2025-26 to 2026-27 2 $6M $3M
Nov 9, 2020 Nashville Predators Entry-level 2022-23 to 2024-25 signed for 2020-21, slid 3 $2.875M $798K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2022-23 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2022-23 analytics

Rating

+1.6Goals above replacement392nd of 696 skaters, 275th of 461 forwards
+0.3Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.5Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 461 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+1.9 71st percentileEven-strength defence-1.1 25th percentilePower play-0.9 12th percentilePenalty kill+0.0 41st percentilePenalties+0.5 61st percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0510152022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

46.5Corsi for %288 attempts for, 332 against
+5.9CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
43.9Expected goals for %12.5 expected for, 16.0 against
+4.8xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
44.3Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
62.1Goals for %18 for, 11 against
106.3PDO12.5% shooting + 93.8% saves
59Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Tommy Novak · Kiefer Sherwood · Luke Evangelista22203:2244.440.515-10
Mark Jankowski · Zachary Sanford · Luke Evangelista219:3031.446.01-0
Matt Duchene · Tommy Novak · Luke Evangelista916:1872.762.91-0
Cody Glass · Kiefer Sherwood · Luke Evangelista65:5371.461.20-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

7Goalsnot counting empty-netters
5.5Expected goalsfrom 61 unblocked attempts
+1.5Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.84 expected goals per 60 minutes62nd
Shot quality 9.1% chance per attempt78th
Finishing +1.5 goals above expected71stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 446 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0246Game 20Goals 7Expected 5.5

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 14, 2023 vs COL L 3-4 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 15:33
Apr 13, 2023 vs MIN W 4-3 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 0 3 0 19:01
Apr 10, 2023 @ CGY W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 18:17
Apr 8, 2023 @ WPG L 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 14:23
Apr 6, 2023 vs CAR W 3-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 17:04
Apr 4, 2023 vs VGK W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 17:32
Apr 3, 2023 @ DAL L 1-5 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 19:11
Apr 1, 2023 vs STL W 6-1 1 2 3 2 0 3 0 17:16
Mar 30, 2023 @ PIT L 0-2 0 0 0 -1 2 1 0 17:01
Mar 28, 2023 @ BOS W 2-1 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 13:37
Mar 26, 2023 vs TOR L 2-3 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 19:11
Mar 25, 2023 vs SEA L 2-7 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 16:08
Mar 23, 2023 vs SEA W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 20:28
Mar 21, 2023 @ BUF W 7-3 2 2 4 4 0 7 0 15:49
Mar 19, 2023 @ NYR L 0-7 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 16:54
Mar 18, 2023 vs WPG L 2-3 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 12:42
Mar 16, 2023 vs CHI L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 17:11
Mar 14, 2023 vs DET W 2-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 13:47
Mar 11, 2023 @ LAK W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 16:00
Mar 9, 2023 @ ARI L 1-4 0 1 1 -1 0 3 2 20:27
Mar 6, 2023 @ VAN L 3-4 (SO) 2 0 2 2 0 6 1 16:27
Mar 4, 2023 @ CHI W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 16:25
Mar 2, 2023 @ FLA W 2-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 12:53
Feb 28, 2023 vs PIT L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 14:28